000			03736cam a22003014a 4500
001			12688103
005			20220527075727.0
008			020227s2002 dcuab b 001 0 eng
010			_a 2002002017
020			_a0309074347
035			_a(DLC) 2002002017
035			_a(DLC)4093
040			_aDLC _cDLC _dDLC
042			_apcc
050	0	0	_aQC981.8.C5 _bA26 2002
082	0	0	_a551.6 _221
245	0	0	_aAbrupt climate change : _binevitable surprises / _cCommittee on Abrupt Climate Change, Ocean Studies Board, Polar Research Board, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council.
260			_aWashington, D.C. : _bNational Academy Press, _c2002.
300			_axii, 230 p. : _bill. (some col.), maps (some col.) ; _c24 cm.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
505	8		_aMachine generated contents note: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 -- Improve the Fundamental Knowledge Base Related to -- Abrupt Climate Change, 2 -- Improve Modeling Focused on Abrupt Climate Change, 4 -- Improve Paleoclimatic Data Related to Abrupt Climate Change, 5 -- Improve Statistical Approaches, 7 -- Investigate "No-Regrets" Strategies to Reduce Vulnerability, 8 -- 1 INTRODUCTION TO ABRUPT CHANGES IN THE -- EARTH'S CLIMATE 10 -- Definition of Abrupt Climate Change, 14 -- Scientific Evidence, Processes, and Consequences for -- Society and Ecosystems, 15 -- The Charge to the Committee, 17 -- 2 EVIDENCE OF ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE 19 -- Interpretation of Past Climatic Conditions from Proxy Records, 19 -- The Younger Dryas as an Example of Abrupt Climate Change, 24 -- Abrupt Climate Changes Before the Younger Dryas Event, 36 -- Eemian Rapid Climate Change, 38 -- Holocene Rapid Climate Change, 40 -- Rapid Climate Changes in the Instrumental Period, 45 -- Patterns of Climate Variability, 48 -- Trends Recor4ed Instrumentally, 56 -- Synopsis of Observations, 69 -- 3 PROCESSES THAT CAUSE ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE 73 -- An Overview of Mechanisms, 74 -- Atmosphere, 80 -- Abrupt Climate Change and Thermohaline Circulation, 89 -- 4 GLOBAL WARMING AS A POSSIBLE TRIGGER FOR 107 -- ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE -- Changes in North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation, 108 -- Limited Predictability Close to an Instability, 111 -- Changes in Natural Modes of the Atmosphere-Ocean System, 112 -- Possible Future Abrupt Changes in the Hydrological Cycle, 113 -- Ice Sheet Changes, 114 -- Outlook, 115 -- 5 ECONOMIC AND ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF ABRUPT 118 -- CLIMATE CHANGE -- Recent Scientific Studies in the Ecological and Social Sciences, 120 -- Sectoral Approaches, 141 -- Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change, 149 -- 6 FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 153 -- Improve the Fundamental Knowledge Base Related to -- Abrupt Climate Change, 154 -- Improve Modeling Focused on Abrupt Climate Change, 159 -- Improve Paleoclimatic Data Related to Abrupt Climate Change, 161 -- Improve Statistical Approaches, 163 -- Investigate "No-Regrets" Strategies to Reduce Vulnerability, 164 -- Final Thoughts, 167 -- REFERENCES 168 -- APPENDIXES 203 -- A Committee and Staff Biographies, 203 -- B Board Rosters, 208 -- C Workshop Agenda, 212 -- D Workshop Participants, 214 -- E Impacts Workshop Program, 216 -- F Impacts Workshop Participants, 218 -- G Acronym List, 220 -- INDEX 223.
650		0	_aClimatic changes. _913453
710	2		_aNational Research Council (U.S.). _bCommittee on Abrupt Climate Change. _913454
856	4	1	_3Table of contents _uhttp://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/fy022/2002002017.html
906			_a7 _bcbc _corignew _d1 _eecip _f20 _gy-gencatlg
942			_2ddc _cBK
999			_c4591 _d4591